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Imagem: TV Globo/reprodução

With the outcome of BBB24 in sight, fans of the reality show are eagerly awaiting to meet the next millionaire, who will take home more than 3 million reais. Betfair analyzed the odds of the last residents of the house.

This time, the pair are MC Bin Laden and the favorite for the Davi award. The result appears on the program this Thursday (4), with the formation of a new hot seat afterwards.

Amid the fervent discussion that marks the final stretch of the program, Betfair brought two special guests: Rafinha, winner of BBB8, and Chico Barney, an entertainment journalist with expertise in the Big Brother universe, for a thorough analysis of the main favorites for the Top 3 of this edition.

BBB8 Champion talks about his expectations

Rafinha, as Betfair’s first guest, brought his perspective as champion of BBB8, where he won with 50.15% of the votes, in a decision that recorded more than 75 million votes tallied.

With a fan base that exceeds 800 thousand followers on Instagram, the tattoo artist shared his reflections on the strategies he would adopt if he were on the program currently, in addition to analyzing the changes that have occurred in the program’s format since 2008 to the present day.

“If I participated in BBB today, I would adopt different strategies. It is crucial to enter the game with determination, to experience all the experiences that the program provides.

Rafinha BBB8 champion

“It is essential to put aside the pressure of social media, as this often inhibits participants. And that is exactly what we observed in this edition. That would be my approach,” said the BBB8 winner to Betfair.

Rafinha also highlighted the lack of delivery of some participants in this edition of the reality show. “Despite the clamor for a more authentic BBB, the competition between the participants left something to be desired. Many seemed to be there just to take up space, without actually contributing to the program’s environment”, observed the tattoo artist.

Chico Barney suggests introducing innovative dynamics in the final stretch

In turn, Chico Barney, a renowned journalist with more than 1 million followers on social media, specializing in BBB, suggested the introduction of innovative dynamics in this crucial phase of the program, in order to maintain the public’s interest.

“Turbo week could benefit from alternative dynamics beyond traditional walls. New approaches are needed to inject excitement, as results tend to be predictable.

A fake wall, a secret room, or even a mysterious connection… If the public is playing in a predictable way, the program’s production can and should innovate”, he suggested.

Chico Barney, journalist, expert in BBB analysis

Predictions for the top 3 of BBB24: opinions from Rafinha and Chico Barney at Betfair

With only eight participants remaining in Brazil’s most watched house, the invited experts believe that the BBB24 finalists share similar characteristics.

Chico Barney identified Davi, Matheus and Beatriz as the favorites. “Davi is practically unbeatable and his victory would be fully deserved. He has stood out tirelessly throughout the season.

In addition to him, I believe that Matheus and Beatriz will also reach the final, given the solid relationship they have with Davi and the low rejection from the general public.

It is unlikely that any member of the ‘gnomes’ group will reach the final, as the elimination of Fernanda and Pitel was already foreseen, and they fulfilled their role in the history of this season”, analyzed the journalist.

Rafinha is betting on the presence of three participants from the Fadas group in the final. “My Top 3 includes Davi in ​​first place, followed by Isabelle and Matheus.

Although Matheus may have overtaken Isabelle, I believe that, in the end, she will take second place. Supporting Davi can boost Isabelle, adding to her own fan base, which is significant.

Furthermore, I see a fierce dispute between Matheus and Bia for third place”, shared the BBB8 champion.

Rafinha also noted that Fernanda’s exit at the last wall weakened the group of ‘gnomes’. “Fernanda’s elimination left the ‘gnomes’ group in a more vulnerable position. She was a key player in the game, strategically moving the plays,” he concluded.

BBB24 favorites according to Betfair

Betfair statistics indicate that Davi maintains a significant advantage in the lead, with a 62% probability of winning. After escaping elimination on the last wall, Beatriz emerges as the second favorite, with 16%. Matteus occupies third place, with 9%, surpassing Isabelle, who drops to 6%.

At the rear, Giovanna, Lucas Henrique and Bin Laden are considered the least likely to win, each with a 1% implied probability.

Check out the complete ranking according to the odds of winning on Betfair:

  • David: 62% (1.2 rating)
  • Beatriz: 16% (4.5)
  • Matteus: 9% (8.5)
  • Isabelle: 6% (12.0)
  • Alane: 4% (26.0)
  • MC Bin Laden, Giovanna Lima e Lucas Henrique: 1% (51.0)

Betfair offers an in-depth analysis of the BBB24 odds, based on the expertise of its analysts.

During the season, bettors have the opportunity to participate on the Betfair platform, which offers markets for BBB 2024, as well as sports betting, entertainment and political events such as the American Elections.