The Australian Open, the first Grand Slam of the tennis circuit this year, is in full swing in Melbourne. With the men’s and women’s singles tournaments reaching the round of 16, Betfair, a specialist in sports odds, has listed the favorites to win the titles in Australia. Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka appear to have the best chances of becoming champions.
In the men’s category, the expectation is that last year’s winner, 24-year-old Italian Sinner, will defend his title. He has a 48% chance of winning his third consecutive title in Australia.
Who can stop Sinner from winning their second championship?
The current world number 2 has four Grand Slam titles in his career so far, lacking only Roland Garros, where he lost in the final in 2025, to complete the list of trophies from the four biggest tennis tournaments in the world.
His biggest rival, according to Betfair, is the Spaniard Carlos Alcaraz. The current world number 1 is a two-time champion of the other three Grand Slams, but has never progressed beyond the quarterfinals of the Australian Open.
At 22 years old, Alcaraz has a 29% chance of breaking his streak and winning in Oceania. The legendary Novak Djokovic, the most successful player in Australian Open history with ten titles and also the record holder for Grand Slams with 24, is in third place with an 8% chance of becoming champion again, now at 38 years old.
Daniil Medvedev, a three-time Australian Open finalist, has a 4% chance, placing him fourth. The Russian is followed by German Alexander Zverev and Russian-Kazakh Alexander Bublik, both with 3%. The
Also among the top ten with the best chances of leaving Australia with the title are Australian Alex de Minaur (2%), who plays with the home crowd in his favor, Americans Taylor Fritz, Ben Shelton and Italian Lorenzo Musetti, all with 1%. The other tennis players still in the tournament have less than a 1% chance.
What are the top 10 favorites to win the 2026 Australian Open title?
- Jannik Sinner – 48% chance of title (odds of 1.73)
- Carlos Alcaraz – 29% (2.88 odds)
- Novak Djokovic – 8% (odd of 10)
- Daniil Medvedev – 4% (odd of 23)
- Alexander Zverev – 3% (odd of 26)
- Alexander Bublik – 3% (odd of 46)
- Alex de Minaur – 2% (odd of 51)
- Taylor Fritz – 1% (odds of 76)
- Ben Shelton – 1% (odds of 91)
- Lorenzo Musetti – 1% (odd of 101)
Sabalenka should win a third championship.
In the women’s singles tournament, Belarusian Aryna Sabalenka is the dominant force. The current world number 1, aged 27, won the tournament in 2023 and 2024, and was runner-up in 2025, when American Madison Keys won her first Grand Slam title. Now, Sabalenka has a 30% chance of returning to the top, according to Betfair.
Kazakhstan’s Elena Rybakina, the 2022 Wimbledon winner, has a 12% chance, placing her second. She is followed by Poland’s Iga Swiatek, who has won every other Grand Slam, including four titles at Roland Garros, but has never reached the final in Australia. Swiatek has an 11% chance of winning the title. Americans Amanda Anisimova (10%) and Coco Gauff (8%) complete the top five most highly rated female tennis players.
Two-time Australian Open champion Naomi Osaka of Japan is seventh on the list, with a 4% chance of winning her third title at age 28. Keys, the current champion, is twelfth on Betfair’s list, with a 2% chance, closing out the list of tennis players who have already won the tournament. Tennis players who do not appear on the list have less than a 1% chance of winning the title.
The final of the Australian Open women’s singles tournament is scheduled for Saturday, January 31st. The following day, the men’s singles tournament will conclude the championship, with the main matches being played at Rod Laver Arena.
Here are the 15 top favorites to win the 2026 Australian Open title:
- Aryna Sabalenka – 30% chance of title (2.6 odds)
- Elena Rybakina – 12% (odds of 6.5)
- Iga Swiatek – 11% (odds of 7)
- Amanda Anisimova – 10% (odds of 8)
- Coco Gauff – 8% (odds of 10)
- Mirra Andreeva – 7% (odd of 11)
- Naomi Osaka – 4% (odds of 21)
- Jessica Pegula – 3% (odd of 23)
- Victoria Mboko – 3% (odd of 26)
- Karolina Muchova – 3% (odd of 31)
- Iva Jovic – 3% (odds of 31)
- Madison Keys – 2% (odds of 36)
- Elina Svitolina – 2% (odds of 51)
- Linda Noskova – 1% (odd of 67)
- Anna Kalinskaya – 1% (odds of 151)
