As the group stage of the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League progresses, the contours of the favorites take shape. Betfair, with its expertise in probability calculations, highlights Manchester City as the main contenders for the title, and Haaland shines as the likely top scorer.
Favoritism in numbers: The giants’ chances
In the fierce group G, Manchester City, even with the possibility of advancing in second place, has a 47% chance of qualifying. Real Madrid, with Vinicius Junior in the spotlight, also has a 47% chance.
They can secure top spot in Group C if they overcome Napoli in the next round. Other teams with good prospects include:
- Barcelona, with 47%;
- Arsenal and Inter Milan, both with 45%;
- Real Sociedad, with 44%;
- Atlético de Madrid, with 41%.
Manchester City in search of second championship
Manchester City, holder of the title, is named by Betfair as the favorite to win the trophy again, with a 27% chance. Bayern Munich and Real Madrid remain on the list, with 15% and 11%, respectively. The top five candidates are:
- Manchester City, with 27%;
- Bayern Munich, with 15%;
- Real Madrid, with 11%;
- Arsenal, with 9%;
- Barcelona, with 7%.
Mbappé’s potential at PSG
PSG, seeking its first Champions League title, has a 6% chance of winning. Mbappé, now without Messi and Neymar at his side, is the third favorite for top scorer, behind Haaland and Harry Kane.
Special Betfair stats for the group stage
Betfair also offers special statistics for the remainder of the group stage. For example, Bayern Munich has a 60% chance of remaining undefeated. Arsenal have a 69% chance of scoring in each group stage game. Mbappé has a 52% chance of finishing with at least four goals.
About Betfair
One of the largest online sports betting providers in the world, Betfair is an official sponsor of the Cruzeiro and Palmeiras teams.
The company, founded in London (ING) in 2000, pioneered the offering of peer-to-peer betting and manages a full suite of sports betting, entertainment events and online gaming products for over four million major customers. 18 years old worldwide.
