Fluminense maintains the best campaign of 2025 and arrives at the first leg of the Copa do Brasil semi-final as favorite. The match this Thursday (11) takes place at Maracanã, with Vasco as the home team, at 8 pm.
The rivals have already faced each other three times in 2025, with two victories for Fluminense and one for Vasco. In the history of the Copa do Brasil, each club has advanced once in the two previous encounters.
Despite Vasco having home advantage, several betting platforms in the country indicate an advantage for Luis Zubeldía’s team. The average odds show 1.99 for Fluminense and 3.54 for Fernando Diniz’s team.
How are the teams arriving at the semi-final?
Vasco is going through a difficult period this year and ended the Brazilian Championship with a 5-0 defeat to Atlético-MG. The club has won only one of its last nine games. Furthermore, Vasco will be without full-back Lucas Piton, who suffered a knee injury against Mirassol.
Jair and Adson remain in the medical department; however, Vasco advanced to the quarterfinals after two draws and a penalty shootout victory against Botafogo.
Fluminense is in a positive phase and has gone seven games without a defeat. Since Zubeldía’s arrival, the team has recorded ten wins, three draws, three losses and direct qualification to the group stage of the Libertadores Cup.
Fluminense will be without Agustín Canobbio, who is suspended after receiving his third yellow card. Germán Cano and Manoel are still recovering from injury. Thus, the club reached the semi-finals after defeating Bahia 2-1 on aggregate.
When does the second leg take place?
The return match takes place on Sunday (14), at 8:30 pm, also at Maracanã, with Fluminense as the home team. The agreement signed by the boards in April guarantees that the classic will remain at the stadium until 2026.
Both games will have a 50/50 capacity allocation for each team’s fans. Finally, the winner will face either Cruzeiro or Corinthians on December 17th and 21st, respectively, with the title being decided at home.
Table of odds from betting platforms
Below you can see the main odds for this match:
| Plataform | Vasco | Draw | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galerabet | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.99 |
| Reals | 3.55 | 3.30 | 2.05 |
| BETesporte | 3.60 | 3.35 | 2.07 |
| 7K | 3.66 | 3.37 | 2.00 |
| Vera Bet | 3.31 | 3.06 | 1.85 |
| Cassino Bet | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.96 |
| Casa de Apostas | 3.55 | 3.24 | 2.04 |
| Luck.bet | 3.55 | 3.30 | 2.05 |
| GingaBet | 3.50 | 3.23 | 2.02 |
| Start Bet | 3.58 | 3.38 | 1.98 |
| 1PRA1 | 3.55 | 3.35 | 1.96 |
