Betfair survey shows what are the main transfer chances in world football in 2023
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The European winter window for international transfers opened at the beginning of the year in the main centers, and the ball market promises to be increasingly heated after many players stood out in the World Cup. Check out the main transfer odds for the month of January, according to Betfair, a specialist in odds analysis.

Major transfers confirmed in the January window so far have included Portugal’s João Félix, who left Atlético Madrid for Chelsea after excelling at the World Cup in Qatar; the departure of Gustavo Scarpa, Brazilian champion for Palmeiras, to Nottingham Forest; and, naturally, the announcement of star Cristiano Ronaldo, who has been without a club since his termination with Manchester United, and who will play for Al Nassr, from Saudi Arabia, where he will receive R$ 1 billion per year.

Betfair surveyed the transfer market and found out the possibilities of other stars transferring in 2023 and the likely arrivals of renowned athletes to Brazilian teams:


Protagonist in the Champions League title won by Real Madrid in 2021/22, which also led him to win the Ballon d’Or last year, the French playmaker can exchange the Spanish league for the Premier League this season. For Betfair, Manchester United is the favorite club to receive Benzema with a 13% chance. Another club interested in the striker is Arsenal, which appears with 6%.


The Brazilian star was probed this week by two English clubs. However, the chances of the Brazilian leaving PSG and moving to Newcastle or Manchester City in 2023 are only 6% in Betfair’s analysis.

Another analysis carried out by Betfair experts was whether Neymar will change clubs during the year 2023. According to the bookmaker’s numbers, there is a 40% chance that the Brazilian will leave PSG for another club by the end of 2023.

Enzo Fernández

Revelation of the World Cup in Qatar and world champion for Argentina, midfielder Enzo Fernández is on Chelsea’s wish list. According to Betfair’s expectations, there is a 75% chance of this signing taking place in the beginning of the year.

Brazilian market on the rise in 2023

Started on January 11, the Brazilian transfer window is making clubs move to register signings. At the kickoff of the state championships, Serie A clubs are working to assemble the rosters for 2023.

The biggest bet so far was the signing of Luis Suárez at Grêmio, an Uruguayan who stood out playing for Barcelona and the Uruguayan national team. Atlético Mineiro invested heavily bringing Paulinho (Bayern Leverkusen) and Edenilson (Internacional) with an eye on the Pre-Libertadores.

Due to these big signings, other teams are running after names to compose the squad in 2023. São Paulo is analyzing the chance of bringing Firmino to play in Paulistão at Morumbi, Flamengo shows interest in midfielder Isco, a former player of Real Madrid and Oscar, ex-Chelsea. Internacional, on the other hand, seeks to bring a world champion to its squad this year, Di Maria has been probed by the Beira-Rio club.

Betfair calculated that there is a 9% chance of Firmino playing for São Paulo in 2023, for midfielder Isco to defend Mengão there are a 10% chance, while Oscar has only a 5% chance of returning to Brazil to sign with the club from Rio de Janeiro.

After the hiring of Suárez by Grêmio, the arch-rival Internacional seeks not to be left behind. Colorado monitors the situation of Di María, world champion for Argentina in 2022 in Qatar. The probability of the athlete appearing in Brazilian football is 7% according to the analysis of Betfair traders.


Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are heading towards the end of their careers after years of winning titles and breaking individual records that will go down in history. Betfair also calculated the chances of today’s greatest players hanging up their boots in 2023.

After winning the third championship for Argentina in the World Cup, Messi obtained the title that was missing from his gallery. Throughout his career, he has won four Champions Leagues, one Copa America, one gold medal at the Olympics and seven Golden Balls in almost 20 years playing professionally. According to Betfair, there is only a 3% chance of pibe moving away from the lawns in 2023.

Already CR7, who started a contract with Al Nassr, from Saudi Arabia, has a 10% chance of ending his career by the end of the year, according to the analysis of data from the bookmaker.

About Betfair

Betfair is one of the largest online sports betting providers in the world, and the official sponsor of Palmeiras. The company, founded in London in 2000, pioneered the provision of peer-to-peer betting (Betfair Exchange) in the betting industry and manages a full range of sports betting, entertainment events and gaming products online for more than 4 million customers around the world, available for ages 18 and over.

Thanks to its cutting-edge technology, the platform offers a wide catalog of products that allows you to bet with your own odds and odds offered by other users. Betfair is licensed to operate online betting and other games in 19 countries including Spain, Italy, Malta, Colombia and Great Britain.