Argentina is the first World Cup finalist. The team led by Lionel Messi was unaware of Croatia this Tuesday, the 13th, and confirmed its favoritism by winning 3-0. In this way, the Argentine national team reached the second decision in the last 3 editions of the Cups (2014 and 2022) .
Responsible for the elimination of Brazil, Croatia had only a 19% chance of winning. While a draw had a 28.5% probability of occurring, according to the predictions promoted in sports betting houses.
This Wednesday, the 14th, France and Morocco will decide on the other finalist. The current world champions are clear favorites to move forward and have a 62% chance of overcoming the underdogs, against a 13% chance of victory for the Africans. A draw registers a 25% chance.
The percentages were calculated by InfoMoney based on the “odds” of 3 bookmakers (bet365, sportingbet and beftair).
Argentina vs Croatia
An Argentine victory paid odds between 1.75 and 1.80, that is, those who bet BRL 100 on the result received their money back plus BRL 75 or BRL 80. A draw paid between 3.25 and 3.30 and an unlikely victory for Croatia, up to 5.00 (ie: up to 500% of the stake).
Therefore, the Argentines were favorites and had a 52.5% probability of winning the game. The draw had a 28.5% chance of happening and a victory for the Europeans was the least likely result (19%), according to the bookmakers.
France vs Morocco
This Wednesday, a French victory has odds between 1.50 and 1.53 (this means that whoever bets BRL 100 on the result and gets it right, wins his money back plus BRL 50 or BRL 53). A draw pays between 3.75 and 3.90 and an unlikely Morocco win, up to 8.00 (ie: up to 800% of the stake).
Therefore, the French are favorites and have a 62% probability of winning the duel. A draw has a 25% chance of occurring and a Moroccan triumph is the least likely result (13%), according to bookmakers.
