The 2022 Copa do Brasil will meet its finalists this week. Flamengo welcomes São Paulo at 9:45 pm this Wednesday, 14th, at Maracanã, for the return game of the competition’s semifinal. In the first leg, the red-black carioca beat the São Paulo tricolor by 3 to 1 and now has the advantage of being able to lose by up to a goal difference. An eventual defeat by two goals takes the dispute to penalties.
According to Betfair, a specialist in sports probabilities, the chances of ranking São Paulo are very low – only 5% (19.0, that is, R$19.00 for each real bet) and the situation for the team led by Rogério Ceni is totally unfavorable, but every outcome is possible.
In addition to never having been champion of the competition, the tricolor cast has not yet won Flamengo in 2022. There were three matches and three defeats by two goals or more. However, the hope of the fans is in forwards Jonathan Calleri and Luciano who have, respectively, 27% (3.6) and 21% (4.6) of chances to hit the net.
On the other hand, the red-black team enters the field as a great favorite for the title – the probability of lifting the trophy once again is 55% (1.62). According to Betfair’s statistical analysis, Flamengo should qualify safely – 95% (1,002) chances.
The player most likely to score a goal at any time is Gabigol with 51.3% (1.95). Champion of the tournament for three times, Flamengo aims to reach another final in 2022 as the Brasileirão title is increasingly distant.
Corinthians is the favorite
On Thursday, the 15th, Corinthians and Fluminense define the second finalist of the Copa do Brasil at 8 pm at NeoQuímica Arena. In the first game, in Rio de Janeiro, there was a 2-2 draw.
Even with the game still open, Betfair’s analysis indicates a slight favoritism to Timão in the 90 minutes. While Fluminense has about a 29% (3.25) chance of qualifying in normal time, Corinthians comes out ahead with 42% (2.3) for playing alongside its fans, needing only a simple victory. The chance of the game ending in a draw and going to penalties is 29% (3.25).
Roger Guedes is the player most likely to score a goal at any given time, with a 43.5% chance. The competition’s top scorer, Germán Cano, from Flu, with five goals, has a 34.5% probability of hitting the net.
About Betfair
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Thanks to its cutting-edge technology, the platform offers a wide catalog of products that allows you to bet with your own odds and odds offered by other users. Betfair is licensed to operate online betting and other games in 19 countries including Spain, Italy, Malta, Colombia and Great Britain.
