Fluminense’s favoritism and emotion for Flamengo, São Paulo and Atlético-GO. This is the prediction of Betfair, specialist in sports odds, for the 2022 Copa do Brasil duels that, this week, define the semifinalists of the competition.
According to a survey by the British bookmaker, Fluminense is the team with the most chances of advancing to the next stage without major surprises. As for the other three clashes, the forecast is for balanced matches with hopes for both sides.
Although São Paulo and Atlético Goianiense have the advantage of winning in the first match, the two teams will now need to secure the result away from home. Flamengo by Dorival Jr. is obliged to score at least one goal if he doesn’t want to go to penalties in Paraná.
Below are Betfair’s top odds for each match in the Copa do Brasil quarter-finals. The analysis was calculated from the analysis of Betfair’s sports odds experts.
Fluminense x Fortaleza
The game takes place this Wednesday, 17th, at 8 pm at Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro. Fluminense opens the quarterfinals of the Copa do Brasil with the greatest favoritism among all clubs. According to Betfair, the tricolor carioca has a 90% chance of advancing to the next stage thanks to a 1-0 victory in the first leg.
The highlight of the game is for the Flu forward, Germán Cano. The specialist in sports odds points out that the Argentine is the main name to swing the net, with a 45.5% chance of scoring a goal at any given time. The player has 4 goals in 4 appearances in the Copa do Brasil.
However, according to Betfair, there is still a chance that Fortaleza will qualify. The team led by Juan Pablo Vojvoda can disrupt the lives of cariocas, especially after the recent victory against rival Ceará for the Brasileirão, winning their third consecutive triumph without conceding a goal. The most positive scenario (12.5%) is a victory in normal time with a goal difference and classification on penalties.
Corinthians x Atlético-GO
The match also takes place this Wednesday, at 9:30 pm at the NeoQuímica Arena, in São Paulo. If, on the one hand, money is not a problem for Corinthians coach Vítor Pereira, on the other hand, Atlético-GO is looking to award the Copa do Brasil. Each semifinalist receives R$8 million, which is equivalent to 4 times the salary of the Goiás team, according to the website Salary Sport.
After beating Timão 2-0 at home, Dragon is favorite to advance to the next stage. According to Betfair, the most likely result is the classification of the Atletico, with a 73.5% probability. Remembering that the team from Goiás has been without losing for four games and advanced to the South American semifinals after beating Atlético Nacional, in Uruguay.
Although Corinthians fell from Libertadores by Flamengo and lost to Palmeiras in the Brasileirão, there are still chances to stay alive in the Copa do Brasil. According to the probability calculation, Corinthians has a 34.7% chance of classification.
Athletico-PR x Flamengo
The clash will be held this Wednesday, also at 9:30 pm at Arena da Baixada, in Curitiba. In this duel, the red-black carioca appears as the big favorite for the classification. According to Betfair, Flamengo has a 69.4% chance of progressing to the next stage of the Copa do Brasil even playing away from home.
In addition, Gabigol’s good form can complicate Hurricane’s life. The probability of the Flamengo striker hitting the net at any time is 41.7%.
On the other hand, Athletico has the most successful coach in the history of the competition: Felipe Scolari has already won the Copa do Brasil 4 times. And after qualifying in Libertadores against Estudiantes away from home, the starting team must complicate the game against Flamengo.
The probability of the team from Paraná advancing, even in penalties after a tie in normal time, is 36.4%, according to Betfair.
America MG vs Sao Paulo
The last match of the Copa do Brasil is scheduled for Thursday, 18, at 21:00 at Estádio Independência, in Belo Horizonte. In the duel in Minas Gerais, São Paulo has 74% favoritism to qualify even in the event of penalties, according to Betfair.
It is worth remembering that Rogério Ceni’s team comes from 2 classifications away from home in knockout after penalty kicks. The first against Palmeiras, for the round of 16 of the Copa do Brasil, and the second against Ceará, for the South American Championship.
Betfair’s analysis also indicates that Calleri has a 35.7% chance of scoring at any given time, making him the most likely player to hit the net in the game. The tricolor striker has 20 goals in 46 games in 2022, but has yet to score in the Copa do Brasil.
On the other hand, América-MG is still alive in the competition. Betfair’s odds survey shows that the team has 27.8% of qualifying even in penalties. The team led by Vagner Mancini should bet on the quick game and striker Pedrinho, author of the goal in the victory against Santos in the Brasileirão last Sunday, has a 22.7% chance of scoring at any time.
About Betfair
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Thanks to its cutting-edge technology, the platform offers a wide catalog of products that allows you to bet with your own odds and odds offered by other users. Betfair is licensed to operate online betting and other games in 19 countries including Spain, Italy, Malta, Colombia and Great Britain.
