Trump vs. Biden: The Odds for Getting to the White House

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Trump vs. Biden: The Odds for Getting to the White House

There are ways to calculate a candidate’s chances in the U.S. elections: the polls, amounts donated to campaigns, the betting market and audience ratings for the attractions where Boe Biden and Donald Trump appear. For all this, Joe Biden is seen as a favorite 15 days before the election.

In the program conducted with Biden on ABC TV, the average was 13.9 million viewers, according to Nielsen, while 13 million Americans followed Trump on NBC at the same time.

Biden’s campaign revealed it had raised about $ 383 million in September, while Trump’s accounted for $ 248 million. Last week, Biden was ahead on all local betting platforms with two-thirds preference, according to Real Clear Politics and the IPSOS Institute.

In addition, polls show that Biden is leading the margin of error, something that did not happen to Hillary Clinton in the key states in 2016. In other words, Trump’s election was considered a surprise, but not a statistical error.

Right now, Donald Trump is promoting actions in regions where he needs to win and is behind. While your competitor is going through points in which, even losing, he still manages to get elected.

Research points out scenarios for Trump and Biden in the final stretch of the campaign

According to the latest IPSOS polls for the Reuters Agency, without the state of Georgia, Trump has passed through Florida in the past few days. The state has the third largest electoral college in the country and the president appears losing with 45%, against 49% of Biden. In Pennsylvania, Trump won in the last election and is also behind with 44% to 51%.

In Iowa, both are tied. The equality scenario is also maintained in Coralina do Norte. Donald Trump also passed through Georgia, which drew attention. A study at the University of Quinnipiac shows Biden in the lead with 51% to 44%. In addition, early voting started with great demand from the population.

However, no key state had an early vote as busy as Michigan. Between 7 and 13 October, 22% of the people interviewed had already voted. Biden appears in the survey by 51% to 43%.

In Wisconsin, the IPSOS Institute noted Biden’s victory by 51% to 44%, with one fifth voter anticipating the vote. In Arizona, Trump has an intense schedule aimed at ending the technical draw. However, early voting already has a record of voters joining.