In January 2026, federal revenue generated by the betting sector reached the significant mark of R$1.49 billion.
Therefore, the amount represents a real jump of 2,642% compared to the R$55 million recorded in the same month of 2025.
However, despite the accelerated growth, this value corresponds to just 0.5% of the Union’s revenue last month, according to data released by the Federal Revenue Service last Friday (21).
Why did the numbers make such a significant jump?
According to the Tax Authorities, this explosion in revenue is a direct reflection of the consolidation of regulation of the fixed-odd betting market.
With the entry into force of the definitive rules for the operation of companies in the country, there was a broad expansion in the tax base.
Formalization allowed the Federal Revenue to track, identify and tax revenues that previously circulated outside the reach of the State.
To get a sense of the impact, the amount collected in this first month of the year alone is already equivalent to 15% of the sector’s entire collection during 2025 (which closed at R$9.95 billion).
If the pace is maintained, the projection is that revenue from the betting market will reach R$18 billion by the end of 2026.
The weight of iGaming in the government’s fiscal debate
The definitive entry of betting companies into the Brazilian tax system has a direct impact on the economic debate in Brasília.
On the one hand, the new source of taxes guarantees extra breathing space for the government in a scenario of strong pressure on public accounts.
On the other hand, the National Congress continues to discuss possible adjustments in the tax burden and the creation of new control mechanisms to mitigate the risks associated with the sector.
January’s historic performance indicates that the betting market now has a structural weight on federal revenue.
Maintaining this billion-dollar level, however, will depend on the rate at which companies adhere to and adapt to the regulated model throughout the year.