The long-awaited boxing fight between Jake Paul and Mike Tyson takes place this Friday (15), and promises to be one of November’s biggest sporting events.
On one side, a young YouTuber who became a fighter and seeks to prove his worth in the sporting world. On the other, one of the greatest champions in boxing history returns to the ring determined to win. And, for the betting market, the fight has a clear favorite.
According to data from Betfair, digital influencer and fighter Jake Paul has a 60% chance of winning the fight – odds of 1.5, that is, for every R$1 bet on Paul, the return for the bettor will be R$1.50. The legend Mike Tyson appears with a 32% probability of victory (odds of 2.8). The draw is rated at 8% chance (odds of 11.0).
The event will be held at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, and will feature a live stream on Netflix starting at 10 p.m. Brasília time.
In addition to the fight between Jake Paul and Mike Tyson, scheduled to start at 1am on Saturday (16), the event will feature other fights on the card, such as that between Brazilian and also influencer Whindersson Nunes against Indian boxer Neeraj Goyat.
Jake Paul favorite to win by knockout
According to the Betfair platform, Jake Paul also has a greater chance of winning the fight through a knockout. The American YouTuber appears with a 43% probability of winning by KO (odds of 2.3). On the other hand, Mike Tyson has a 30% chance of knocking out his opponent (odds of 3.3).
The odds still reveal that the fight should not reach the eighth and final round. There is a 65% chance (odds of 1.44) that the fight will not reach the end.
Furthermore, the betting market shows that the most likely rounds for the fight to end are the second and third with 14% probability each (odd of 7.0).
Youth x experience: first 60 seconds of great attention
As it is a highly anticipated fight, there is great anticipation to see how the two fighters will behave right after the bell rings. On the one hand, Jake Paul is at his physical peak, aged 27 and has a record of 10 wins and 1 loss. The influencer stood out after beating fighters like Anderson Silva, Nate Diaz and Ben Askren.
On the other, Mike Tyson is one of the greatest champions in boxing history, with a record of 50 wins and 6 losses. However, the legendary boxer is already 58 years old, and had to reschedule the fight due to health problems.
According to Betfair data, the chances of a knockout in the first minute are very low – 4% for anyone to win in the first 60 seconds of the fight (odds of 23.0).
Whindersson Nunes is underdog against Indian professional boxer
Brazilian YouTuber Whindersson Nunes will also participate in the event. In one of the preliminary cards, he will face Neeraj Goyat, an Indian professional boxer with a record of 18 wins and 4 losses. Whindersson has so far 1 win and 2 losses.
According to Betfair’s analysis, the Brazilian is not a favorite to win. There are 73% chances for Neeraj to win the fight (odd of 1.3) against 23% chances for Whindersson (odd of 3.47).
In addition to the fights between Whindersson Nunes and Mike Tyson, the card will have five other fights, such as the men’s welterweight WBC (World Boxing Council) belt fight between Mario Barrios and Abel Ramos, and also the women’s super-lightweight belt fight between Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano 2.
About Betfair
One of the largest online sports betting providers in the world, Betfair is an official sponsor of the Cruzeiro and Vasco da Gama teams.
The company, founded in London (ING) in 2000, pioneered the offering of peer-to-peer betting (Betfair Exchange) and manages a complete suite of sports betting, entertainment events and online gaming products for more than four millions of customers over 18 years old around the world.
Betfair is currently licensed to operate online betting and other games in 19 countries, including Spain, Italy, Malta and Great Britain.
